6PM Day 1 Convective Outlook for Saturday, February 28. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Isolated-to-scattered thunderstorm threat continues tonight.
01z Update
Weak MCS has evolved over the eastern Gulf/west-central FL Peninsula early this evening. Latest radar data suggests an MCV may be embedded within the broader precip shield over Hernando county, and this feature is shifting steadily east. Greatest concentration of convection this evening will likely be immediately ahead of this feature, with a trailing band of somewhat stronger updrafts trailing southwest across the Tampa region into the eastern Gulf. While this trailing band may exhibit a bit more intensity, the threat of severe remains low as poor midlevel lapse rates are likely inhibiting updraft strength.