6PM Day 1 Convective Outlook for Thursday, February 26. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Severe thunderstorms are not expected tonight.
01z Update
Midlevel short-wave trough is digging southeast across the central Plains early this evening. 500mb speed max is forecast to translate across KS into western TN by sunrise, and this feature may aid a weak frontal wave and weak low-level warm advection along/north of the synoptic boundary. Forecast soundings continue to depict weak MUCAPE, but likely adequate for lightning discharge within stronger elevated convection. Risk of severe is negligible the rest of tonight.