6PM Day 1 Convective Outlook for Sunday, February 22. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
SUMMARY
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight.
01z Update
Westerly flow is deepening/strengthening across the Southeast early this evening as northern/southern-streams begin to phase later tonight, in response to the maturing upper trough. Scattered thunderstorms continue along the frontal zone from coastal MS into southern GA, but have struggled to attain appreciable intensity. While deep-layer flow is more than adequate for sustaining robust updrafts, current trends suggest the primary risk with this activity will be sub-severe wind gusts and maybe some small hail. As a result, severe probabilities will be lowered for the rest of the period.